Analysis of COP17 negotiations to date

Here is where we stand as we near the finality of this critical climate conference.  On mitigation, the science says that we need to reduce our emissions – there is no time-reserve, i.e. pushing it off to some future date is not an option.  There appears to be a poker game taking place among the negotiating parties, but there is still time to break the gridlock.  Everyone is waiting for someone to step up to the plate and demonstrate leadership.  We are looking for a champion – someone to go first.

Yesterday was the opening day for the high-level segment of COP17.  Our media room was packed in the first joint press briefing by UN Secretary-General Ban Ki-Moon and chief UN climate negotiator Chistiana Figueres which immediately followed the opening plenary session with heads-of-state and government ministers.  They gave a cautiously optimistic outlook for a positive outcome of COP17. 

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A Global Bashing of the US Climate Change Negotiations and LACK of Legislation

We arrived at this briefing, held in the former City Hall building, about fifteen minutes early.  The room was quite small and with the 50 chairs, there was not a lot of room to move, and the table for the panelists was quite close to the front row.  We decided to move to seats in the middle of the second row.  Shortly after we sat down, Chistianna Figures, the executive secretary of the UNFCCC and chief UN negotiator entered the room.  Ms.  Figueres walked to the front row and began shaking hands with the dozen or so press that had arrived early for the briefing, included the two of us!  Shortly after this the room filled to capacity and a little beyond, and then the briefing began.  There were representatives from India, Indonesia, The World Bank,  Brazil, South Africa, the UK, and the UN.

They Just Don’t Get It! 

I’m not sure who said it first in this Press Briefing where Lord Deben unveiled GLOBE International ‘s “The 2nd GLOBE Climate Legislation Study”

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Civil society leaders critical of U.S.

At a COP17 press conference earlier today in Durban, South Africa, top leaders of NGO’s made some powerful, unflattering statements about U.S. obstuctionism.  

Kumi Naidoo, Executive Director, Greenpeace International, said:

“On Saturday, in Durban, the US eviscerated draft language on mitigation that would have offered real protection to those who are being hardest and fastest hit by climate changes that are already happening. The time has come for the US to stand aside. If it is not willing to save lives, save jobs and save whole ecosystems then it should get out of the way and let those who are willing move on. Any failure to move beyond US obstructionism will be measured in lives.”

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If Students Can Do It, What Can…?

A clunky solar car caught my eye as I entered one of the pavilions in the climate conference center that is open to civil society.  Seventeen year old project manager Dimitra Hiestermann and one of the 16 year old builders Christopher Pallamar – neatly attired in their school uniforms – explain their creation. 

Dimitra:  “South Africa sponsors a solar challenge every two years.  There was a lot of interest among the students in our school to design and build our own solar car.”  This is an expensive project for a school.  But, with the support and guidance from their parents and teachers, they were able to confront and overcome complex challenges and “see our dream come true.”  They were able to garner financial and technical support from Rockwell Automation and the European Union.   

These kids are pretty amazing!

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Zulu music

I awoke at 5:00am this morning to the brightness of day leaking around the curtains in our room.  We are less than three weeks from the longest day of the year here in the southern hemisphere – Durban’s December 4 is our June 4 in York.  I was still a bit groggy at this hour– we didn’t get to bed until about 1:00am after a very long day + of travel – so I decided to close my eyes for a few more minutes.  I awoke with a start and slight panic at 10:45 – missed breakfast!  Breakfast is served from 7-10, it’s my favorite meal of the day, and I was really hungry.  “No problem.”  The hostess at our B&B showed the South African hospitality we are slowing becoming used to… “what would you like for breakfast?”  Fried eggs over easy, baked tomato, bacon (shouldn’t but it was really good), fresh fruit, great bread…nice start to the day even though it was already closing in on noon.

 Our #1 task for the day, get our UN credentials.  We made a street-side hire of a people-mover minivan.  This is a low-cost means of public transit in which a minivan has a specific route.  People gradually arrive at the van and climb in, but it doesn’t head out until every seat is filled.  It was a slow Sunday morning so the driver agreed to take us to the conference center for a set price; about $18, fair deal for the driver and the five of us. 

“What’s playing on the radio,” Matt – our student blogger from Carnegie Mellon University – asked as we about half-way into our trip.  “”Zulu gospel music,” came the reply.  It was very…ahh, very African, and spiritual.  We are clearly immersed in a different culture, one that has become surprisingly blind to racial, ethnic, and religious difference in spite of their historical domination by white Africans until the democratic election of Nelson Mandela.  Social rest still exists, but it is related more to economic disparities than to other forms of prejudice.

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There’s an Elephant in the Room: time for climate action is now

African proverb:  “A man who is trampled to death by an elephant is a man who is blind and deaf.”

Here in Africa, there is a giant bull elephant in the room trumpeting loudly – global carbon dioxide emissions must be curbed, and then reduced.  If we fail in that task, we could be condemning our global society to catastrophic consequences of a run-away climate.  Are we blind and deaf?  Will the farmer lose his crops to draught, the costal homeowner lose all shelter and possessions to an unprecedented hurricane, half-the world’s people lose their fresh water resources to vanishing glaciers, the policymaker lose his post due to his untimely death from a new climate-induced disease vector?  Will we all be squashed by a climate that is no longer habitable for humans?

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Off to South Africa: student perspectives

We are in Washington Dulles International Airport awaiting our 17 hr., 40 min. flight to Johannesburg, South Africa. Greg and I are serving as mentors for five students who are blogging for the American Chemical Society from COP17 in Durban. Two students, John Canada from the University of Alabama and Lauren McCullough from Penn State, have been in Durban for week one of the conference. Three students, Patrick Lestrange & Kiersten DeBlaker form York College and Matt DeNardo from Carnegie Mellon Univ. are traveling with us today to cover week two of COP17. Please check out their Student Perspectives on Climate Change blog. We have a 3-hr layover in Johannesburg which corresponds with the return layover of the departing students. If all goes well, we will all be able to meet in Johannesburg and the week one students will hand over the on-location blogging responsibilities to the week two students. We’ll offer our insights as soon as we can log-on in Durban.

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Three Fossils in the Muck: Canada, U.S., and Poland

A sixteen year old student from Bethlehem, Pennsylvania accepted the 2nd place Fossil Award on behalf of the United States on Tuesday at the UN climate conference in Durban, South Africa.  You can watch the Youtube award presentation and acceptance here (scroll back to “Day 2”, Nov. 29).  The “prestigious” Fossil Awards are presented each day “to countries who have performed badly in the climate change negotiations.”  The Fossil Award was presented to the U.S. in response to lead U.S. climate negotiator Jonathan Pershing’s statement during the opening sessions of COP17 that there are “an infinite number of pathways to stay below 2 degrees Centigrades.”

What?!!!

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If You Cannot Attack the Science…

The scientific data concerning Climate Change is solid and it continues to grow.  As scientists, the data is what is most important.  From the data, we develop models, and from these models, scientists provide predictions.  So when the data is rock solid, what do Climate deniers turn to?  A small sampling of the newest tactics comes from the following inflammatory press release “Climategate 2.0 exposes climate science hypocrisy on eve of UN’s Durban Conference”.    This release comes from a group called CFACT, a group with a progressive sounding name – Committee for a Constructive Tomorrow – yet they use tactics that have very little to do with the scientific evidence, and a lot to do with creating hysteria.  This group blames recent US and EU climate change policies (which attempt to minimize the environmental and societal effects of global warming) on everything from loss of jobs to the world-wide economic troubles. 

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Students Report from UN Climate Conference

This weekend, more than 20,000 representatives of the world’s governments, international organizations, and civil society will begin gathering in Durban, South Africa in an effort to address the civilization challenging issue of climate change.  Among those gathering will be five students who are serving as official representatives of the American Chemical Society.  Two are in the air today on their way to Durban—John Canada (University of Alabama) and Lauren McCullough (Penn State)—for week one of the UN climate conference.  Three students—Matt Denardo (Carnegie Mellon University) and Kiersten DeBlaker & Patrick Lestange (York College)—will be heading out next Friday for week two.  Their goal is to employ social networking technologies to promote climate literacy among their university peers and young adults back home in the U.S.
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